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  • Confidence Bootcamp
    • My learning
    • Intro to experimentation
      • Introduction
      • Lesson 1: Why you should experiment
      • Lesson 2: Experiment hypothesis
      • Lesson 3: Success and guardrail metrics
      • Lesson 4: Success metrics
      • Lesson 5: Set up your experiment
      • Lesson 6: Calculation frequency
      • Lesson 7: Target audience
      • Lesson 8: Sample size
      • Lesson 9: Quality assurance
      • Lesson 10: Run your experiment
      • Lesson 11: Evaluate your experiment and make a decision
      • Lesson 12: A/B tests and rollouts
      • Course wrap up
    • Intro to metrics
      • Introduction
      • Lesson 1: What is a metric?
      • Lesson 2: Metric roles
      • Lesson 3: Time considerations
      • Lesson 4: Capturing behavior
      • Lesson 5: Strategic metrics
      • Lesson 6: Interpretability
      • Lesson 7: Feasibility and sensitivity
      • Lesson 8: Variance reduction
      • Lesson 9: Select metrics
      • Lesson 10: Segment-level analysis
      • Course wrap up
    • Scientific product development
      • Introduction
      • Lesson 1: Why you should experiment
      • Lesson 2: The scientific method
      • Lesson 3: Randomized controlled trials
      • Lesson 4: Experiment hypothesis
      • Lesson 5: Case study
        • Case study
        • Answers to case study
      • Lesson 6: Why do we need statistics?
      • Lesson 7: Success metrics
      • Lesson 8: Detectable effects and sample size
      • Lesson 9: Make a decision
      • Course wrap up
    • A primer on hypothesis testing
      • Introduction
      • Lesson 1: Introduction to hypothesis testing
      • Lesson 2: True vs estimated effects
      • Lesson 3: Sampling distribution of the difference-in-means estimator
      • Lesson 4: Z-tests and how to reject the null hypothesis
      • Lesson 5: False postive rate and alpha
      • Lesson 6: True positive rate, MDE, and power
      • Course wrap up
    • Intro to Feature Flags
      • Introduction
      • Lesson 1: What is a feature flag?
      • Lesson 2: Lifecycle of a feature flag
      • Lesson 3: Clients
      • Lesson 4: Evaluation context and targeting
    • Sample size calculation - I
      • Introduction
      • Lesson 1: What is the required sample size?
      • Lesson 2: Alpha and power
      • Lesson 3: Baseline mean and variance
      • Lesson 4: Sample size playground - I
    • Sample size calculation - II
      • Introduction
      • Lesson 1: Multi-metric decision making
      • Lesson 2: Number of success metrics
      • Lesson 3: Number of guardrail metrics
      • Lesson 4: Number of comparisons
      • Lesson 5: Sample size playground - II
    • Sample size calculation - III
      • Introduction
      • Lesson 1: Binary metrics
      • Lesson 2: Treatment group proportions
      • Lesson 3: Variance reduction
      • Lesson 4: Sequential testing and sample size
      • Lesson 5: Sample size playground - III
    • Advance your experimentation
      • Introduction
      • Lesson 1: Guardrail metrics with non-inferiority margins
      • Lesson 2: Choose evaluation frequency
      • Lesson 3: Metrics' roles in experiments
      • Lesson 4: Cumulative holdback evaluations
    • Experimentation culture
      • Introduction
      • Lesson 1: Onboarding into experimentation
      • Lesson 2: Empowering experimentation champions
      • Lesson 3: Sustaining the experimentation culture
    • Videos

Welcome to A primer on hypothesis testing

A primer on hypothesis testing is an asynchronous, self-paced course that teaches you the fundamental concepts of hypothesis testing in the context of experimentation. This course focuses on building intuition for how hypothesis tests work and why they are crucial for making decisions in experiments.

In this course, you'll learn how hypothesis testing helps manage uncertainty in experimental data, understand the relationship between what you observe in a sample and what is true for the full population, and learn how to interpret statistical significance and p-values.

Note

There are quiz questions throughout the course to help you check your understanding of the material. Complete each lesson's questions to track your progress.

Before you begin

Before you start this course, you should have a basic understanding of what it means to run an experiment end-to-end. In our experience, this helps you internalize the concepts in our courses.

In Confidence

If you haven't already, go through the A/B test quickstart to get hands-on experience running an experiment in Confidence.

Lessons

This course consists of the following lessons:

Lesson 1: What is hypothesis testing?

Learn the basics of hypothesis testing and how it helps handle uncertainty in experimental data.

Not completed

Lesson 2: True versus estimated difference in means

Understand the difference between population parameters and sample statistics in hypothesis testing.

Not completed

Lesson 3: The sampling distribution

Learn about sampling distributions and the Central Limit Theorem's role in hypothesis testing.

Not completed

Lesson 4: P-values and rejecting the null hypothesis

Learn about the interpretation of p-values and learn how to make decisions based on statistical significance.

Not completed

Lesson 5: False positive rate and alpha

Learn about the false positive rate and how it relates to the alpha parameter.

Not completed

Lesson 6: True positive rate and power

Learn about the true positive rate and how it relates to the power parameter.

Not completed

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